NFL Sunday wild-card bets: Will Bills end road slump in Jacksonville?
Sunday's three-game playoff slate is loaded with mouthwatering matchups.
The Bills head to Jacksonville and look to snap an eight-game playoff road losing streak. The Eagles host the 49ers in a rematch of the 2022 NFC Championship Game. Meanwhile, MVP candidate Drake Maye makes his postseason debut at home against the Chargers.
Our trio of betting writers began their playoff competition with Saturday's two-game lineup, and they'll continue to try to out-wager each other all the way through to the Super Bowl.
π Check out all of the markets available for Sunday's wild-card games on theScore Bet here
Jump to: Jaguars vs. Bills summary | Eagles vs. 49ers | Patriots vs. Chargers
π Pick: Bills ML (-110)
Deeg - Bet $44 to win $40
The Bills' weakness is their mediocre run defense, and I don't think their upcoming opponent will be able to exploit it. Since Week 9, the Jaguars rank 29th in rush success rate (36.8%) and 30th in yards per carry (3.6). Jacksonville's offense thrives on explosive passing plays, but Buffalo's defense ranked eighth in EPA/dropback and allowed the fourth-fewest completions of 20-plus yards. Overall, the Bills' pass defense was elite in 2025, conceding the fewest yards through the air.
Jacksonville is one of the league's hottest teams, but so is Buffalo. The Bills have won five of their last six contests, with the only loss coming against the defending champion Eagles. Josh Allen is the best quarterback in the playoffs, and Buffalo's offense placed in the top five in points per game (28.3) and EPA/play. The Bills are the more experienced playoff squad in this matchup and managed to rest their starters in Week 18, while the Jaguars' regulars played in the season finale.
π Bet: Anytime TD (-125)
Patterson - Bet $50 to win $40
The playoffs are when Allen puts the entire Bills organization on his back and attempts to carry them to the Super Bowl. He may not always be successful, but you can't argue that he leaves it all on the field. He's scored six touchdowns in his last seven playoff games and has found the end zone 14 times in 17 contests this season.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+185)
Patterson - Bet $20 to win $37
One of the key reasons for Lawrence's success this year has been his mobility, as he set career highs in rushing attempts (82), yards (359), and touchdowns (nine). He scored four times in his final four games, and his emergence as a dual-threat forces the Bills' defense to account for his legs whenever the Jaguars approach the goal line.
π Bet: Over 69.5 rushing yards (+105)
Oshtry - Bet $45 to win $47.25
I'm not sure the Bills' run defense could even stop me behind a competitive offensive line. Buffalo has allowed 136 rushing yards per game, the worst among playoff teams. Etienne, who's averaging 4.3 yards per carry, should surpass this number if the Jaguars commit to exploiting the Bills' biggest weakness.
π Bet: Over 0.5 interceptions (-140)
Oshtry - Bet $70 to win $50
Lawrence threw 12 interceptions this season, tied for the fifth-most in the NFL. The Bills' defense ranked 11th in interceptions. Lawrence doesn't have a ton of playoff experience, but he's thrown five picks in two postseason games. He's likely to make mistakes in another big spot.
π Bet: Over 3.5 receptions + 1 touchdown (+400)
Deeg - Bet $15 to win $60
Allen had a 149.2 passer rating when targeting Kincaid in 2025, the highest mark among all quarterback-pass-catcher duos in the league. After receiving limited action in Week 18 to recover from a knee injury, Kincaid should get a healthy workload in this contest. He recorded four-plus receptions in six of nine games when playing over 35% of the offensive snaps and will face a Jaguars defense that ranks in the bottom five in targets and receptions to tight ends.
Bills-Jaguars summary
| Patterson | Oshtry | Deeg |
|---|---|---|
| Allen TD | Lawrence o0.5 INTs | Bills ML |
| Lawrence TD | Etienne o69.5 rush yards | Kincaid parlay |
π Check out all of the markets available for Sunday's wild-card games on theScore Bet here
Jump to: Eagles vs. 49ers summary
π Pick: Eagles -5.5 (-115)
Oshtry - Bet $50 to win $43.48
The 49ers benefited from an easy schedule. They played two top-five scoring defenses (Seahawks and Texans) and averaged 11.6 points in those contests. The Eagles will be the third top-five defense they face. As great as Kyle Shanahan is as a schemer and play-caller, Eagles defensive coordinator Vic Fangio is even better.
Philadelphia owns a daunting pass rush and a reliable secondary that'll give Brock Purdy problems. The Eagles' issues have been on offense, but the 49ers own a bottom-third defense and allow the second-most passing yards among playoff teams. Philly's offense should have enough success to hold off the Niners, even if that means scoring only 16 points.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+110)
Deeg - Bet $30 to $33
Hurts had eight rushing scores this campaign, the fewest he's recorded as a starter. The odds here match that production, but he's been a touchdown machine in the postseason, recording nine in 10 career playoff contests. The Eagles won't mess around in crunch time, and they'll use the tush push whenever they can. The 49ers' defense ranks 31st in rush success rate this season and 28th in red-zone yards allowed per game since Nov. 1.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+185)
Patterson - Bet $20 to win $37
For as big a cheat code as the tush push is for the Eagles, Goedart is equally as dangerous as a goal-line weapon. He's tied with Trey McBride for most touchdowns among tight ends with 11, scoring four in his last three games.
π Bet: Over 9.5 rushing attempts (+275)
Patterson - Bet $20 to win $55
Hurts logged his fewest rushing attempts this season since his rookie year, a concerted strategy to minimize hits and keep him healthy for the playoffs. Well, the postseason is here, and it's time for Hurts to start running again. You could take the over on his most balanced line of 6.5 attempts, but I'll take +300 on over 9.5 - a total he's surpassed in four of nine playoff games.
π Bet: Under 228.5 passing yards (-120)
Oshtry - Bet $75 to win $62.50
Purdy averaged 280 passing yards in five outings against bottom-half passing defenses this season. However, in four games versus top-half passing defenses, he averaged 191 passing yards. Notice a trend? Purdy gets rattled against elite passing defense, and the Eagles boast the fifth-best unit among playoff teams. The 49ers will need to rely on their ground attack to move the ball against Philly, limiting Purdy's production.
π Bet: Longest reception over 24.5 yards (+130)
Deeg- Bet $25 to win $32.50
These are great odds for a player who's exceeded this number in 10 of 17 contests this season. San Francisco's defense has struggled mightily against wideouts, ranking 28th in yards per attempt allowed and 29th in passer rating when wide receivers are targeted.
π Bet: Eagles (-9.5) + Hurts over 39.5 rushing yards + Brown over 79.5 receiving yards + Brown 1 touchdown (+1847)
Patterson - Bet $10 to win $184.73
The Eagles could certainly lay a beatdown on the 49ers, who arguably have the worst defense in the playoffs. If that's the case, expect Hurts to return to his rushing ways and A.J. Brown to exploit a weak secondary. These are big odds, given how plausible this game script is.
49ers-Eagles summary
| Patterson | Oshtry | Deeg |
|---|---|---|
| Hurts o9.5 rush att. | Eagles (-5.5) | Hurts TD |
| Goedert TD | Purdy u228.5 pass yards | Smith o24.5 long rec. |
| PHI parlay |
π Check out all of the markets available for Sunday's wild-card games on theScore Bet here
Jump to: Patriots vs. Chargers summary
π Pick: Chargers +3.5 (-115)
Patterson - Bet $23 to win $20
Consider me a buyer on the narrative that the Patriots benefited from a soft schedule, and I can't fully trust them in this contest.
This will mark Maye's first playoff appearance. Although he performed at an MVP level this season, there's a chance he gets off to a shaky start, especially against a stout Chargers defense. New England doesn't have many reps against a top-10 defensive unit, which may come back to bite them. Since their Week 12 bye, the Chargers haven't conceded more than 20 points in a game.
The Patriots can obviously win this matchup, but I think it'll be a tight, defensive battle in cold New England weather. The Chargers' defense is good enough to keep them in the fight and perhaps even help Justin Herbert secure his first playoff win.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+130)
Patterson - Bet $20 to win $27
Hampton is the Chargers' clear goal-line back and is also a threat in the passing attack. The rookie found the end zone in three of the last four contests.
If Hampton is sidelined by his ankle injury, this bet becomes an easy swap to Kimani Vidal, who proved he can carry the running back workload throughout most of the regular season.
π Bet: Longest rush over 14.5 yards (+120)
Deeg - Bet $25 to win $30
There's solid value here, as Herbert has hit the over in nine of 16 games this season. He also set career highs in rushing yards (498) and scramble rate (8%), and only Allen had more outings with at least 20 rushing yards.
π Bet: Over 0.5 interceptions (+100)
Oshtry - Bet $50 to win $50
The Chargers forced the third-most interceptions during the regular season. Maye isn't a turnover-prone signal-caller, but the heightened pressure in his postseason debut could lead to mistakes.
π Bet: Over 31.5 receiving yards (-120)
Deeg - Bet $33 to win $27.50
Although New England's pass defense is solid, its main weakness is stopping tight ends. The Patriots ranked in the bottom 12 in targets, receptions, and receiving yards allowed to the position. Gadsden needs to break a couple of receptions for this number to hit.
π Bet: Chargers (+3.5) + Herbert over 224.5 passing yards + Diggs over 49.5 receiving yards (+425)
Oshtry - Bet $30 to win $127.61
For my biggest long shot of the day, let's craft a three-leg parlay. Despite Herbert's postseason struggles, he surpassed 225 passing yards in each of his two playoff games. The Patriots' run defense is better than their pass defense, meaning Los Angeles will need Herbert's arm to keep this contest within a field goal. As for Stefon Diggs, he's averaging 59 receiving yards per game, and Maye will likely rely on his most dependable weapon in his first playoff appearance.
Chargers-Patriots summary
| Patterson | Oshtry | Deeg |
|---|---|---|
| Chargers (+3.5) | Maye o0.5 INT | Gadsden o32.5 rec. yards |
| Hampton TD | LAC parlay | Herbert o14.5 long rush |
Odds and lines derived from theScore Bet sportsbook and are subject to change. Real money was not used to make these wagers on theScore Bet.
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