Undefeated Chiefs remain favored to 3-peat; Ravens, Lions close behind
Odds and data via theScore Bet and ESPN Bet
The Chiefs entered the season as the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl - and their perfect 7-0 record keeps them atop the oddsboard.
Patrick Mahomes & Co. began their quest for a three-peat at +500 odds, and their flawless start has made them shorten to +375. That implies a 21.1% probability that Kansas City will become the first team to win the Lombardi Trophy in three consecutive seasons.
The Chiefs accumulated 15.6% of the bets and 15.96% of the handle (money wagered), representing the most of any NFL team. Since the conclusion of Week 1, they're the third-most bet on team in terms of handle (12.13%) and first in terms of bet count (18.53%).
The Ravens have received the most handle since the season started, accounting for 21.3% of the money wagered. Their Super Bowl odds have shortened from +1000 to +600, making them the second-favorite team to win.
Super Bowl odds
Team | Current Odds | Preseason Odds |
---|---|---|
Chiefs | +375 | +500 |
Ravens | +600 | +1000 |
Lions | +650 | +1000 |
49ers | +800 | +600 |
Bills | +850 | +1600 |
Texans | +1200 | +1600 |
Eagles | +1300 | +1100 |
Packers | +1500 | +1800 |
Vikings | +2000 | +10000 |
Commanders | +2200 | +15000 |
Falcons | +2500 | +3000 |
Steelers | +3000 | +5000 |
Bengals | +4000 | +1300 |
Cowboys | +5000 | +1800 |
Chargers | +5000 | +4000 |
Teams priced above +5000 are not listed.
Before the season started, the Lions received the second-most bets behind the Chiefs (both in number of bets and handle). That early love remains: Detroit, the top-seeded team in the NFC, is still getting the second-most bets.
The Commanders are by far the biggest riser on the betting board: They opened the year with +15000 odds (0.7% implied probability), which have now shortened to +2200 (4.3% implied probability). Second overall pick Jayden Daniels has led the team's resurgence - they're 6-2 and holding the lead in the NFC East.
The Vikings have also flown up the oddsboard. Sam Darnold's career has been revitalized in Minnesota, leading the Vikings to an impressive 5-2 start.
The Bengals (3-5) and Cowboys (3-4) have experienced the biggest drops from their preseason odds. Both teams are struggling - the Bengals' only wins came over the Giants, Browns, and Panthers, while the Cowboys' -48 point differential is tied for the seventh-worst in the league.
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